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FOREX Education

Risk Probability Calculator - Continued...
To skip directly to the calculator, click here

February, 2004
By Sure-Fire Forex Trading

Retracement Levels

The RPC only uses two retracement levels. The .382 and the 61.8. These are automatically calculated when you enter Point A and Point B. The reason I only use these two levels is that the .50 level will be to close to the other two points on an intraday basis, which is where the vast majority of us trade.


Targets

You will find that the target levels will also act as resistance levels. These levels are automatically calculated once Points A,B and C have been entered. You should select a target according to market conditions and also the style of trader you are. You make fade out the position at each target.

Potential Return

This is where the little tool becomes really handy. With the information that has already been input, the RPC calculates if you have at least a 2-1 win ratio. This means that once the RPC has done its calculations it will only display "Trade"if you have at least twice the potential profit to risk ratio. If the calculations doesn"t show that you have at least twice the potential gain then it will show "No Trade". This will keep you out of trades where you might find yourself taking a large risk for a small potential gain.

I hope you enjoy using the RPC and that it improves your trading results. If you have any question on the use of the RPC just drop me a line at info@surefire-forex-trading.com or you can go to www.surefire-forex-trading.com

Good Trading

Mark McRae



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GFT Market Traders Institute

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.